A GROWING POPULATION: Namibia’s population is expected to double over the next 20-years.
A GROWING POPULATION: Namibia’s population is expected to double over the next 20-years.

Six million Namibians projected by 2050

Preliminary census results ‘surprising’
The Namibia Statistics Agency this week announced a population growth of 114% over the last 32 years.
Ogone Tlhage
Namibia’s population is expected to reach six million by 2050, an assessment by Cirrus Capital has found.

This follows the release of the preliminary census statistics this week by the Namibia Statistics Agency (NSA), which now places the population at just over three million, and which marks a population growth of 114% over the last 32 years.

If all other factors remain constant, the population will grow substantially as the world approaches the halfway mark of this century, Cirrus said.

“Namibia’s de facto population on the census reference night, 24 September 2023, was 3 022 401. In 2011, the total population was 2 113 077 – meaning a 43% increase from 2011 to 2023. This translates to an inter-censal annual growth rate of 3%, accelerating from 14% between 2001 and 2011. At this rate, ceteris paribus, the total population growth is estimated to be over six million by 2050,” the company noted.

Windhoek, Rundu most populous

The latest census results also found that Khomas remained the most populous region with a total population of 494 605 - up from 342 141 in 2011, accounting for 44.6% increase. This trend was also observable in the total population for Windhoek, which stands at 486 169, accounting for 98.2% of the region’s residents.

In terms of rank, Rundu follows in second place with a total count of 118 625, followed by Walvis Bay with 102 704, Swakopmund with 75 921 and Oshakati with 58 696.

Cirrus noted that Otjiwarongo’s population witnessed a growth of 73.5%, making it the sixth largest local authority area.

“Okahandja was the fastest growing urban locality, with population up by 99.5%,” Cirrus said.

What do the numbers mean?

In its analysis, Cirrus said while the preliminary census results provided limited data, they did indicate typical development trends such as rapidly increasing urbanisation. Preliminary results indicated that Namibia’s urbanisation growth rate stood at 63%.

“While unemployment data has not yet been made available, the higher-than-expected population growth rate highlights the challenge of creating jobs faster as there are new entrants to the labour force.”

Academic Dr Omu Kakujaha-Matundu called Namibia’s population growth surprising. “From the projections of the 2011 census and the number that came out, the growth is surprising. One wonders whether it is in migration or natural growth,” he said.

Economic Association of Namibia CEO Cons Karamata also expected a much lower head count.

“I was surprised that we hit the three million mark. Based on projections, I expected the population size to be closer to 2.7 million,” he said.

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Namibian Sun 2024-11-07

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Premier League: Fulham 2 vs 1 Brentford Katima Mulilo: 22° | 36° Rundu: 20° | 31° Eenhana: 21° | 31° Oshakati: 21° | 31° Ruacana: 20° | 31° Tsumeb: 19° | 26° Otjiwarongo: 18° | 23° Omaruru: 20° | 32° Windhoek: 17° | 29° Gobabis: 19° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 19km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 12:28, High tide: 06:39, Low Tide: 00:56, High tide: 18:52 Swakopmund: 15° | 18° Wind speed: 19km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 12:26, High tide: 06:37, Low Tide: 00:54, High tide: 18:50 Walvis Bay: 15° | 24° Wind speed: 23km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 12:26, High tide: 06:36, Low Tide: 00:54, High tide: 18:49 Rehoboth: 20° | 30° Mariental: 22° | 35° Keetmanshoop: 24° | 36° Aranos: 20° | 34° Lüderitz: 14° | 24° Ariamsvlei: 22° | 36° Oranjemund: 15° | 24° Luanda: 25° | 27° Gaborone: 19° | 27° Lubumbashi: 17° | 33° Mbabane: 13° | 24° Maseru: 12° | 25° Antananarivo: 14° | 30° Lilongwe: 22° | 29° Maputo: 19° | 26° Windhoek: 17° | 29° Cape Town: 17° | 22° Durban: 16° | 23° Johannesburg: 15° | 26° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 31° Lusaka: 20° | 31° Harare: 17° | 30° Currency: GBP to NAD 22.42 | EUR to NAD 18.69 | CNY to NAD 2.42 | USD to NAD 17.32 | DZD to NAD 0.13 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.25 | EGP to NAD 0.34 | KES to NAD 0.13 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.63 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.03 | RUB to NAD 0.18 | INR to NAD 0.21 | USD to DZD 132.78 | USD to AOA 909.05 | USD to BWP 13.4 | USD to EGP 49.22 | USD to KES 129.2 | USD to NGN 1680.41 | USD to ZAR 17.32 | USD to ZMW 27.07 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index Same 0 | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1858.03 Down -1.09% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 14296.93 Down -0.02% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 31045.26 Up +0.82% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI 9878.53 Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 698.14/OZ UP +1.28% | Copper US$ 4.41/lb UP +4.38% | Zinc US$ 3 071.00/T UP 0.28% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 76.16/BBP UP +0.87% | Platinum US$ 990.99/OZ UP +0.68% Sport results: Premier League: Fulham 2 vs 1 Brentford Weather: Katima Mulilo: 22° | 36° Rundu: 20° | 31° Eenhana: 21° | 31° Oshakati: 21° | 31° Ruacana: 20° | 31° Tsumeb: 19° | 26° Otjiwarongo: 18° | 23° Omaruru: 20° | 32° Windhoek: 17° | 29° Gobabis: 19° | 28° Henties Bay: 16° | 22° Wind speed: 19km/h, Wind direction: SW, Low tide: 12:28, High tide: 06:39, Low Tide: 00:56, High tide: 18:52 Swakopmund: 15° | 18° Wind speed: 19km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 12:26, High tide: 06:37, Low Tide: 00:54, High tide: 18:50 Walvis Bay: 15° | 24° Wind speed: 23km/h, Wind direction: W, Low tide: 12:26, High tide: 06:36, Low Tide: 00:54, High tide: 18:49 Rehoboth: 20° | 30° Mariental: 22° | 35° Keetmanshoop: 24° | 36° Aranos: 20° | 34° Lüderitz: 14° | 24° Ariamsvlei: 22° | 36° Oranjemund: 15° | 24° Luanda: 25° | 27° Gaborone: 19° | 27° Lubumbashi: 17° | 33° Mbabane: 13° | 24° Maseru: 12° | 25° Antananarivo: 14° | 30° Lilongwe: 22° | 29° Maputo: 19° | 26° Windhoek: 17° | 29° Cape Town: 17° | 22° Durban: 16° | 23° Johannesburg: 15° | 26° Dar es Salaam: 26° | 31° Lusaka: 20° | 31° Harare: 17° | 30° Economic Indicators: Currency: GBP to NAD 22.42 | EUR to NAD 18.69 | CNY to NAD 2.42 | USD to NAD 17.32 | DZD to NAD 0.13 | AOA to NAD 0.02 | BWP to NAD 1.25 | EGP to NAD 0.34 | KES to NAD 0.13 | NGN to NAD 0.01 | ZMW to NAD 0.63 | ZWL to NAD 0.04 | BRL to NAD 3.03 | RUB to NAD 0.18 | INR to NAD 0.21 | USD to DZD 132.78 | USD to AOA 909.05 | USD to BWP 13.4 | USD to EGP 49.22 | USD to KES 129.2 | USD to NGN 1680.41 | USD to ZAR 17.32 | USD to ZMW 27.07 | USD to ZWL 321 | Stock Exchange: JSE All Share Index Same 0 | Namibian Stock Exchange (NSX) Overall Index 1858.03 Down -1.09% | Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE) MASI 14296.93 Down -0.02% | Egyptian Exchange (EGX) 30 Index 31045.26 Up +0.82% | Botswana Stock Exchange (BSE) DCI 9878.53 Same 0 | NSX: MTC 7.75 SAME | Anirep 8.99 SAME | Capricorn Investment group 17.34 SAME | FirstRand Namibia Ltd 49 DOWN 0.50% | Letshego Holdings (Namibia) Ltd 4.1 UP 2.50% | Namibia Asset Management Ltd 0.7 SAME | Namibia Breweries Ltd 31.49 UP 0.03% | Nictus Holdings - Nam 2.22 SAME | Oryx Properties Ltd 12.1 UP 1.70% | Paratus Namibia Holdings 11.99 SAME | SBN Holdings 8.45 SAME | Trustco Group Holdings Ltd 0.48 SAME | B2Gold Corporation 47.34 DOWN 1.50% | Local Index closed 677.62 UP 0.12% | Overall Index closed 1534.6 DOWN 0.05% | Osino Resources Corp 19.47 DOWN 2.41% | Commodities: Gold US$ 2 698.14/OZ UP +1.28% | Copper US$ 4.41/lb UP +4.38% | Zinc US$ 3 071.00/T UP 0.28% | Brent Crude Oil US$ 76.16/BBP UP +0.87% | Platinum US$ 990.99/OZ UP +0.68%